Futures and Commodity Market News

Tue Nov 24, 2009

Breaking financial news 24/7 courtesy of TradingCharts.com Inc. / TFC Commodity Charts

Charts & Quotes
Commodity Charts
My Charts Menu
Intraday Quotes
Stock Market Data
Fundamentals
News
Weather
Resources
Learning Center
Short Course
Glossary
Trader's Books
Premium Resources
Commodity Brokers
Community
Trader's Forum
Live Chatroom
Site Information
F.A.Q.
Suggestion Box
Advertising Info.
Return
Previous page
 
 Popular Recent
 News Stories
[Pause Scroll] [Restart]

USDA : WASDE, 11.12.02

USDA U.S. Department of Agriculture - November 12, 2002

WASDE-392  November 12, 2002

NOTE:  World supply and demand estimates for wheat (see pages 16 and
17) incorporate revised estimates of China's wheat consumption and
stocks.  The changes are due to indications that USDA's previous estimates
of China's wheat stocks were too low.  The changes reflect information
collected by the U.S. Agricultural Attache in Beijing, trade sources, and
statements by Chinese officials regarding total grain stocks.  Internal prices
and trade patterns also strongly suggest stocks are much more abundant
than USDA's previous estimates.  Since production and trade estimates are
unchanged, except for higher projected exports for 2002/03, higher stocks
can only be attained by lowering use, specifically non-feed use.  Per capita
consumption of wheat is reduced slightly starting in 1990/91, with
marginally stronger reductions from 1994/95 to 2002/03 as rising incomes
led urban consumers to switch to other foods.  Estimates of wheat feed use
are raised 2 million tons per year for 2002/03 and the previous 2 years. 
Old and revised historical supply and demand estimates for China wheat are
available at: http://www.usda.gov/oce/waob/wasde/wasde.htm.  Historical
world wheat supply and demand estimates since 1990/91 reflecting the
China revisions will be released tomorrow, November 13, at 3:00 p.m.
Eastern Time in the Foreign Agricultural Service report Grains:  World
Markets and Trade (http://www.fas.usda.gov/grain).

WHEAT:  Projected U.S. 2002/03 ending stocks of wheat are down 13
million bushels from last month due to lower production and smaller
projected imports.  Estimated production is revised down 8 million
bushels because of reduced area.  Some of the other spring wheat and
durum acres that producers indicated they intended to harvest for grain
during the collection of data for the Small Grains Summary 2002 report
were not harvested for grain.  Projected imports are reduced 5 million
bushels from last month.  The projected price range is raised 10 cents on
the low end to $3.65 to $3.95 per bushel.

Projected world 2002/03 wheat production is down marginally from last
month as reductions for Australia, Algeria, and Bulgaria more than offset
gains for Kazakstan, Russia, and Afghanistan.  The smaller projected
Australian crop results in a 2-million-ton reduction in exports for their
October-September marketing year.  However, relatively strong exports
during July-September 2002 result in only a 1-million-ton reduction for
the July-June international trade year.  Projected global imports are up
from last month, led by a 2-million-ton increase for the EU.  The larger
global imports and reduced Australian exports are offset by higher
projected exports for Russia, Ukraine, and Eastern Europe.  Global stocks
are up sharply due to historical revisions in China stocks.

COARSE GRAINS:  Projected 2002/03 ending stocks of corn are up 84
million bushels from last month due to a 34-million-bushel gain in
production and reduced use.  Projected feed and residual use is up 25
million bushels due to lower sorghum feeding.  However, exports are
down 75 million bushels because of increased competition.  Projected
sorghum exports are 25 million bushels above last month due to
expanding global imports and reduced competition.  In addition, forecast
sorghum production is reduced slightly.  The smaller crop and expanding
exports are only partially offset by lower feed and residual use, lowering
ending stocks of sorghum 10 million bushels.  The projected price range
for corn is down 10 cents on each end of the range to $2.20 to $2.60
per bushel.

Global coarse grain production, trade, and use are down slightly from
last month, but ending stocks are higher.  There are numerous
country-specific production changes from last month, highlighted by
larger corn production in Argentina and Eastern Europe, lower corn
production in Brazil, lower Mexico sorghum production, and lower
production of barley in Australia.  The larger corn crops result in
expanded corn export prospects for Argentina and Eastern Europe.  Plus,
projected exports by China are up 500,000 tons.  With global imports up
only slightly from last month, U.S. export prospects are reduced.  U.S.
sorghum export prospects are improved because of a sharply smaller
sorghum crop in Mexico and reduced exports (and higher imports) for
Australia.  Larger China corn stocks are due to lower projected feed use
in 2002/03 and the previous 2 years because of increased wheat feeding
estimates.

RICE:  U.S. 2002/03 rice supplies are projected at a record 264 million
cwt, slightly above last month and 4 percent above 2001/02. Rice
production is forecast at 212 million cwt, fractionally above last month
and 1 million cwt below the 2001/02 record.  U.S. average yield for
2002/03 is forecast at a record 6,611 pounds per acre, slightly above
last month and 3 percent above last year.  Long-grain production is
forecast at 157.5 million cwt, slightly above last month, but 5 percent
below the 2001/02 record.  Combined medium- and short-grain
production is forecast at 54.5 million cwt, unchanged from last month,
but 14 percent above 2001/02.  

Exports are projected at a record 100 million cwt, 3 percent above last
month and 6 percent above 2001/02.  Exports of rough rice are
projected at a record 35 million cwt, 9 percent above last month and 10
percent above the previous high in 2001/02.  Exports of milled rice
(rough-equivalent basis) are projected at 65 million cwt, unchanged from
last month, but 4 percent above 2001/02.  Ending stocks, at 39 million
cwt, are down 7 percent from last month, nearly the same as 2001/02,
and the largest since 1986/87.  The season-average price range for
2002/03 is raised 20 cents per cwt on the low end to $3.70 to $4.00
per cwt, down from $4.17 per cwt in 2001/02 and the lowest since
1986/87.

Global 2002/03 rice production, imports, exports, and ending stocks are
raised slightly from a month ago.  The slight increase in global rice
production is due primarily to a larger crop projected for Vietnam.  Rice
imports are raised for the Philippines, Nigeria, and Cote d'Ivoire.  Rice
exports are raised for Vietnam, Argentina, and the United States.  Global
rice ending stocks in 2002/03 are projected at 106.1 million tons, up
slightly from last month but 20 percent below 2001/02 and the lowest
since 1987/88.

OILSEEDS:  Projected U.S. oilseed ending stocks for 2002/03 are up this
month as increased production is only partially offset by higher use
prospects.  U.S. oilseed production, at 82.7 million tons, is up 0.8
million tons this month as a larger soybean crop offsets reductions for
peanut and cottonseed production.  Soybean production is forecast at
2.69 billion bushels, up 36 million bushels from last month, based on a
higher average yield.  

Projected U.S. soybean stocks are increased 10 million bushels to 185
million bushels as production increases more than use.  Soybean exports
are projected at 890 million bushels, up 40 million bushels from last
month due to stronger than expected early-season shipments, especially
to China.  However, soybean crush is lowered due to reduced soybean
meal export prospects.  Soybean meal exports are lowered 0.4 million
short tons to 6.2 million tons, based on increased meal exports from
South America.  Soybean oil ending stocks for 2002/03 are projected at
1,485 million pounds, down 145 million pounds from last month due
mostly to reduced production.

The U.S. season-average soybean price range for 2002/03 is lowered 10
cents on each end to $4.95 to $5.85 per bushel.  Soybean oil prices are
raised 0.5 cents on both ends of the range to 19.5 to 20.5 cents per
pound, due to lower projected ending stocks.  Soybean meal prices are
projected at $155 to $185 per short ton, down $10 on both ends of the
range.

Global oilseed production for 2002/03 is projected at 321.7 million tons,
up 3.8 million tons from last month.  Foreign production is forecast at
238.9 million tons, up 3.0 million tons, based largely on increased
soybean production.  Soybean production in Argentina is forecast at a
record 32.5 million tons, up 1.5 million tons, based on increased area
and higher yields.  Soybean production for Brazil is raised 1 million tons
to a record 49 million tons, based on higher projected area, especially in
Southern Brazil as producers switch more area from corn.  Soybean
production for China is increased 0.8 million tons to 16.4 million tons,
based on higher area.  Australian rapeseed production is reduced
200,000 tons to 800,000 tons because of severe drought.  Global
oilseed ending stocks are increased 3.4 million tons this month to 32.8
million tons based on larger soybean stocks.

SUGAR:  Projected U.S. sugar supply for fiscal-year 2002/03 is
decreased 503,000 short tons, raw value, from last month.  Lower
beginning stocks result largely from increased sales ahead of the October
1 imposition of 2002/03 marketing allotments.  Beet sugar is decreased
60,000 tons due to lower forecast sugarbeet area and yields.  Cane
sugar is decreased 80,000 short tons due to lower projected sugar
recovery from sugarcane in Louisiana.  Sugar deliveries for domestic
food and beverage use are lowered 200,000 tons to account for the pre-
allotment sales.  The year-ending stocks-to-use ratio is 12.7 percent,
compared with 15.5 percent last month.

For 2001/02, final reporting from processors lowers production and
exports, while revised U.S. Customs data increase imports.  Year-ending
stocks are 1.295 million tons, down 363,000 tons from last month's
estimate.  Increased sales for domestic food and beverage use in
September more than offset decreased exports.  The statistical
discrepancy between total supply and reported uses is 106,000 tons. 
The ending stocks-to-use ratio for 2001/02 is 12.5 percent, compared
with 16.6 percent last month.

LIVESTOCK, POULTRY, AND DAIRY:  Forecast meat production for
2002 and 2003 is little changed this month.  Third-quarter 2002 poultry
production is raised due to higher-than-expected slaughter, but lower
eggs set data over the past several weeks point toward slower broiler
production growth in the fourth quarter.  Third-quarter broiler exports are
raised to reflect strong shipments to Russia during August.  This month,
forecast total egg production is unchanged for 2002 and is raised for
2003.  Table egg production is forecast slightly higher, but the gains will
be mostly offset by declines in hatching egg production.  Livestock and
poultry price forecasts are little changed this month.

Projected milk production for 2002/03 is raised from last month. 
Additional milk production is expected to continue pressuring already
weak product markets and lead to larger CCC net removals of nonfat dry
milk and generally lower product prices.  Pressured by weak butter
prices, the Class IV price for 2002/03 is projected to average $10.45
to$11.35 per cwt, and weak cheese prices likely will result in the Class
III price averaging $10.10 to $10.80 per cwt.  The all milk price is
projected at $11.65 to $12.35 per cwt.

COTTON:  The 2002/03 U.S. cotton projections include lower supplies
and disappearance, with ending stocks unchanged from last month. 
Beginning stocks are reduced nearly 200,000 bales, based on final
2001/02 stocks data released by the Bureau of the Census.  Forecast
production is reduced about 250,000 bales to 17.8 million bales, mainly
reflecting poor weather in the Southeast.  Domestic mill use is also
reduced, due to weaker than anticipated recovery in recent monthly mill
use rates.  The export forecast is reduced to 10.8 million bales, down
200,000 bales from both last month and last season.  Export sales
currently lag year-ago levels by about 25 percent; however, this month's
reductions in key foreign crop estimates indicate that U.S. sales are
likely to strengthen. 

The world supply and demand situation for 2002/03 includes lower
production and consumption compared with last month; trade is revised
down slightly and ending stocks are revised up marginally.  With respect
to production, a 1.0-million-bale increase in China's crop and a smaller
increase for Tajikistan are more than offset by reductions in Pakistan,
the United States, Greece, Uzbekistan, Turkmenistan, Brazil, and Cote
d'Ivoire.  Similarly, consumption is raised 500,000 bales in China, due to
strong growth in yarn production, but this increase is more than offset
by reductions for the United States, Uzbekistan, Indonesia, Egypt, and
others.  World trade is reduced 1.5 percent based on weaker demand in
importing countries.  

Approved by the Secretary of Agriculture and the World Agricultural Outlook
Board, Gerald A. Bange, Chairperson, (202) 720-6030.  This report was
prepared by the Interagency Commodity Estimates Committees.  Committee
members are listed on page 34.


                                 APPROVED:

                                                     
                                                     
                                                     

                                 JAMES R. MOSELEY
                         ACTING SECRETARY OF AGRICULTURE


The next issue of this report will be released 8:30 a.m. ET on December
10, 2002.

The World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE) report
will be released 8:30 a.m. Eastern Time on the following dates in 2003: 
Jan. 10, Feb. 11, Mar. 11, Apr. 10, May 12, June 11, July 11, Aug. 12,
Sep. 11, Oct. 10, Nov. 12, Dec. 11.

Announcing Agricultural Outlook Forum 2003:  You're invited to USDA's
79th annual Outlook forum on February 20-21, 2003, in Arlington,
Virginia.  The meeting, which attracted 1,400 attendees in 2002, will
provide timely forecasts of farm prospects and insight into major trends
affecting the farm economy.  For complete details access
www.usda.gov/oce or send e-mail agforum@usda.gov.

Leading analysts will be on hand to discuss planting, trade, and price
prospects for farm commodities and farm income prospects for 2003. 
Meteorologists will discuss the impact of El Nino on global crops.

With a theme of Competing in the 21st Century, the program will feature
the potential for export competition from Central and Eastern Europe,
Brazil, and Asia, as well as progress in bilateral trade agreements and the
WTO.  Focus sessions will highlight challenges producers face in the
competitive arena, ranging from the growing complexity and cost of
regulation, to access to markets and information, to dealing with food
safety and changing eating habits.
ELECTRONIC ACCESS AND SUBSCRIPTIONS
Download this report in ascii text or pdf (Adobe Acrobat) format
at ww.usda.gov/oce/waob/wasde/wasde.htm.  Acrobat files can be
viewed or printed in their original form, page by page.
 
This report and other USDA releases are posted electronically by
release date at www.usda.gov/news/calindex.htm.  To view a
report, click the month of release, then the report title.

For instructions on retrieving the WASDE report by fax, call (202)
694-5700 from the handset of a fax machine and follow voice
prompts to retrieve document 66900.  For information on e-mail
subscriptions or other questions about the WASDE report, call
(202) 720-5447.

Mail subscriptions cost $50.00; 2- and 3-year subscriptions are
available.  Call 1-800-999-6779 or 703-605-6220, 8:30 a.m.-5:00
p.m. ET, or write ERS-NASS, 5285 Port Royal Road, Springfield,
Virginia 22161.  This report is also available from the Government
Printing Office.  Call 202-783-3238 or write Superintendent of
Documents, GPO, Washington, D.C.  20402.  For GPO
subscription inquires, call 202-512-1806.

                                 WASDE-392-6
 
                 World and U.S. Supply and Use for Grains 1/
                              Million Metric Tons
===============================================================================
                      :           :   Total   :          :  Total   :  Ending
     Commodity        :   Output  :   Supply  : Trade 2/ :   Use    :  Stocks
===============================================================================
                      :
                      :                         World
Total grains 3/       :
      2000/01         :  1,841.45   2,402.54     232.77    1,863.77    538.77
      2001/02 (Est.)  :  1,862.91   2,401.68     236.11    1,897.75    503.93
      2002/03 (Proj.) :
           October    :  1,814.41   2,275.47     227.02    1,904.35    371.12
          November    :  1,812.77   2,316.70     228.24    1,895.05    421.66
Wheat                 :
      2000/01         :    583.85     790.84     102.82      586.50    204.34
      2001/02 (Est.)  :    578.72     783.06     108.95      584.85    198.22
      2002/03 (Proj.) :
           October    :    569.77     729.33     100.00      598.16    131.18
          November    :    569.34     767.55     101.60      595.10    172.46
Coarse grains 4/      :
      2000/01         :    860.05   1,069.91     105.84      880.90    189.00
      2001/02 (Est.)  :    887.46   1,076.46     101.25      902.73    173.73
      2002/03 (Proj.) :
           October    :    863.40   1,032.89     101.11      898.47    134.41
          November    :    861.65   1,035.38     100.38      892.31    143.07
Rice, milled          :
      2000/01         :    397.55     541.80      24.12      396.37    145.43
      2001/02 (Est.)  :    396.73     542.15      25.91      410.17    131.98
      2002/03 (Proj.) :
           October    :    381.24     513.25      25.91      407.72    105.53
          November    :    381.79     513.77      26.26      407.64    106.12
                      :
                      :                     United States
Total grains 3/       :
      2000/01         :    339.83     420.91      88.11      255.36     77.43
      2001/02 (Est.)  :    321.79     405.13      83.82      253.85     67.46
      2002/03 (Proj.) :
           October    :    295.36     368.32      85.75      248.14     34.43
          November    :    295.86     368.68      84.58      248.27     35.84
Wheat                 :
      2000/01         :     60.76      89.05      28.90       36.30     23.85
      2001/02 (Est.)  :     53.26      80.04      26.16       32.72     21.15
      2002/03 (Proj.) :
           October    :     44.22      67.68      25.86       31.73     10.09
          November    :     43.99      67.32      25.86       31.73      9.73
Coarse grains 4/      :
      2000/01         :    273.13     324.70      56.62      215.39     52.70
      2001/02 (Est.)  :    261.86     317.12      54.71      217.32     45.09
      2002/03 (Proj.) :
           October    :    244.52     292.38      56.86      212.49     23.03
          November    :    245.23     293.10      55.59      212.62     24.89
Rice, milled          :
      2000/01         :      5.94       7.15       2.59        3.68      0.89
      2001/02 (Est.)  :      6.67       7.97       2.94        3.81      1.22
      2002/03 (Proj.) :
           October    :      6.63       8.27       3.04        3.92      1.31
          November    :      6.64       8.27       3.13        3.92      1.22
===============================================================================
1/ Aggregate of local marketing years.  2/ Based on export estimate.  See
individual commodity tables for treatment of export/import imbalances.  3/
Wheat, coarse grains and milled rice.  4/ Corn, sorghum, barley, oats, rye,
millet and mixed grains (for U.S. excludes millet and mixed grains).

                                 WASDE-392-7
 
              World and U.S. Supply and Use for Grains, Continued 1/
                              Million Metric Tons
===============================================================================
                      :           :   Total   :          :  Total   :  Ending
     Commodity        :   Output  :   Supply  : Trade 2/ :   Use    :  Stocks
===============================================================================
                      :
                      :                         Foreign 3/
Total grains 4/       :
      2000/01         :  1,501.63   1,981.64     144.67    1,608.41    461.34
      2001/02 (Est.)  :  1,541.12   1,996.55     152.29    1,643.89    436.48
      2002/03 (Proj.) :
           October    :  1,519.05   1,907.15     141.26    1,656.21    336.69
          November    :  1,516.91   1,948.02     143.66    1,646.78    385.82
Wheat                 :
      2000/01         :    523.09     701.79      73.92      550.19    180.49
      2001/02 (Est.)  :    525.46     703.03      82.79      552.12    177.07
      2002/03 (Proj.) :
           October    :    525.56     661.66      74.14      566.42    121.09
          November    :    525.35     700.24      75.74      563.36    162.73
Coarse grains 5/      :
      2000/01         :    586.92     745.20      49.22      665.52    136.30
      2001/02 (Est.)  :    625.60     759.34      46.54      685.41    128.64
      2002/03 (Proj.) :
           October    :    618.88     740.51      44.25      685.98    111.38
          November    :    616.41     742.28      44.79      679.69    118.18
Rice, milled          :
      2000/01         :    391.61     534.65      21.53      392.70    144.54
      2001/02 (Est.)  :    390.06     534.18      22.97      406.36    130.76
      2002/03 (Proj.) :
           October    :    374.61     504.98      22.88      403.80    104.22
          November    :    375.15     505.50      23.13      403.73    104.91
===============================================================================
1/ Aggregate of local marketing years.  2/ Based on export estimate.  See
individual commodity tables for treatment of export/import imbalances.   3/
Total foreign is equal to world minus United States.   4/ Wheat, coarse grains
and milled rice.  5/ Corn, sorghum, barley, oats, rye, millet and mixed
grains.

 
                     World and U.S. Supply and Use for Cotton 1/
                                 Million 480-lb. bales
===============================================================================
                      :           :   Total   :          :  Total   :  Ending
     Commodity        :   Output  :   Supply  : Trade 2/ :   Use    :  Stocks
===============================================================================
                      :
                      :                         World
      2000/01         :     88.74     134.04      26.59       91.96     42.71
      2001/02 (Est.)  :     98.37     141.07      29.00       94.12     47.49
      2002/03 (Proj.) :
           October    :     88.50     135.84      29.91       96.41     39.83
          November    :     88.14     135.63      29.45       96.22     40.00
                      :                     United States
      2000/01         :     17.19      21.12       6.74        8.86      6.00
      2001/02 (Est.)  :     20.30      26.33      11.00        7.72      7.43
      2002/03 (Proj.) :
           October    :     18.07      25.70      11.00        7.90      6.80
          November    :     17.82      25.27      10.80        7.70      6.80
                      :                        Foreign 3/
      2000/01         :     71.56     112.92      19.85       83.10     36.70
      2001/02 (Est.)  :     78.07     114.75      18.00       86.40     40.07
      2002/03 (Proj.) :
           October    :     70.43     110.15      18.91       88.51     33.03
          November    :     70.32     110.37      18.65       88.52     33.20
===============================================================================
1/ Marketing year beginning August 1.  2/ Based on export estimate.  3/  Total
Foreign is equal to world minus United States. See global cotton tables for
treatment of export/import imbalances.

                                 WASDE-392-8
 
                 World and U.S. Supply and Use for Oilseeds 1/
                             (Million Metric Tons)
===============================================================================
                      :           :   Total   :        :   Total   :  Ending
     Commodity        :   Output  :   Supply  :  Trade :    Use 2/ :  Stocks
===============================================================================
                      :
                      :                         World
Oilseeds              :
      2000/01         :    313.44     348.54     71.46      254.63     35.68
      2001/02 (Est.)  :    323.52     359.21     67.97      264.59     36.93
      2002/03 (Proj.) :
           October    :    317.89     354.11     71.54      267.26     29.34
          November    :    321.66     358.59     71.83      267.89     32.78
Oilmeals              :
      2000/01         :    175.33     181.46     56.93      175.86      5.35
      2001/02 (Est.)  :    182.51     187.85     59.98      181.62      5.63
      2002/03 (Proj.) :
           October    :    185.69     191.20     61.06      185.55      5.53
          November    :    185.98     191.61     61.32      185.44      5.65
Vegetable Oils        :
      2000/01         :     89.08      97.23     34.96       88.33      8.38
      2001/02 (Est.)  :     91.03      99.42     36.64       90.90      7.62
      2002/03 (Proj.) :
           October    :     91.79      99.08     37.66       92.15      6.40
          November    :     91.83      99.45     38.05       92.01      6.51
                      :
                      :                     United States
Oilseeds              :
      2000/01         :     84.89      94.69     27.98       49.07      7.82
      2001/02 (Est.)  :     89.83      98.30     29.94       50.62      6.88
      2002/03 (Proj.) :
           October    :     81.94      89.26     23.93       49.63      5.80
          November    :     82.72      90.01     25.02       49.22      6.00
Oilmeals              :
      2000/01         :     38.22      39.68      7.26       32.02      0.40
      2001/02 (Est.)  :     38.97      40.40      7.03       33.08      0.29
      2002/03 (Proj.) :
           October    :     38.38      39.63      6.20       33.15      0.28
          November    :     38.01      39.32      5.85       33.19      0.28
Vegetable Oils        :
      2000/01         :      9.51      12.39      1.05        9.65      1.69
      2001/02 (Est.)  :      9.65      12.81      1.56        9.96      1.30
      2002/03 (Proj.) :
           October    :      9.59      12.38      1.37       10.03      0.98
          November    :      9.51      12.28      1.32       10.05      0.91
                      :
                      :                      Foreign 3/
Oilseeds              :
      2000/01         :    228.55     253.85     43.49      205.56     27.86
      2001/02 (Est.)  :    233.69     260.90     38.03      213.96     30.06
      2002/03 (Proj.) :
           October    :    235.96     264.86     47.60      217.63     23.53
          November    :    238.93     268.57     46.81      218.67     26.78
Oilmeals              :
      2000/01         :    137.12     141.78     49.68      143.83      4.95
      2001/02 (Est.)  :    143.54     147.45     52.95      148.54      5.35
      2002/03 (Proj.) :
           October    :    147.31     151.58     54.85      152.40      5.25
          November    :    147.97     152.29     55.47      152.25      5.37
Vegetable Oils        :
      2000/01         :     79.57      84.84     33.91       78.69      6.69
      2001/02 (Est.)  :     81.38      86.61     35.09       80.94      6.32
      2002/03 (Proj.) :
           October    :     82.20      86.70     36.29       82.12      5.42
          November    :     82.32      87.17     36.73       81.96      5.60
===============================================================================
1/ Aggregate of local marketing years with Brazil and Argentina on an
Oct.-Sept. year.  2/ Crush only for oilseeds.  3/ Total foreign is equal to
world minus United States.
                                  WASDE-392-9
 
                           U.S. Wheat Supply and Use 1/
===============================================================================
                            :         :         :      2002/03  Projections
        Item                : 2000/01 : 2001/02 :==============================
                            :         :   Est.  :     October        November
===============================================================================
Area                        :               Million acres
 Planted                    :   62.6       59.6          60.4            60.4
 Harvested                  :   53.1       48.6          46.0            45.8
Yield per harvested         :                   Bushels
    acre                    :   42.0       40.2          35.3            35.3
                            :             Million bushels
Beginning stocks            :    950        876           777             777
Production                  :  2,232      1,957         1,625           1,616
Imports                     :     90        108            85              80
  Supply, total             :  3,272      2,941         2,487           2,474
Food                        :    950        928           930             930
Seed                        :     80         82            86              86
Feed and residual           :    304        193           150             150
  Domestic, total           :  1,334      1,202         1,166           1,166
Exports                     :  1,062        961           950             950
  Use, total                :  2,396      2,164         2,116           2,116
Ending stocks               :    876        777           371             358
  CCC inventory             :     97         99            75              75
  Free stocks               :    779        678           296             283
Avg. farm price ($/bu) 2/   :   2.62       2.78    3.55- 3.95      3.65- 3.95
===============================================================================
                            
                       U.S. Wheat by Class: Supply and Use
===============================================================================
   Year beginning           :  Hard  :   Hard  :  Soft  :       :       :      
     June 1                 : Winter :  Spring :  Red   : White : Durum : Total
===============================================================================
2001/02 (estimated)         :                Million bushels
Beginning stocks            :    411       210     135       75      45     876
Production                  :    767       476     400      232      84   1,957
  Supply, total 3/          :  1,179       750     535      315     163   2,941
Domestic use                :    467       304     258       95      78   1,202
Exports                     :    348       216     199      147      52     961
  Use, total                :    815       520     457      242     130   2,164
Ending stocks, total        :    363       230      78       73      33     777
                            :
2002/03 (projected)         :
Beginning stocks            :    363       230      78       73      33     777
Production                  :    609       357     332      239      79   1,616
  Supply, total 3/          :    973       617     417      319     147   2,474
Domestic use                :    465       257     257      101      86   1,166
Exports                     :    365       275     120      155      35     950
  Use, total                :    830       532     377      256     121   2,116
  Ending stocks, total      :
                  November  :    143        85      40       63      27     358
                   October  :    153        87      40       63      27     371
===============================================================================
Note: Totals may not add due to rounding.  1/ Marketing year beginning June 1.
2/ Marketing-year weighted average price received by farmers. 3/ Includes
imports. 
                                 WASDE-392-10
 
                 U.S. Feed Grain and Corn Supply and Use 1/
===============================================================================
                            :         :         :      2002/03  Projections
        Item                : 2000/01 : 2001/02 :==============================
                            :         :   Est.  :     October        November
===============================================================================
FEED GRAINS                 :
Area                        :               Million acres
 Planted                    :   99.1       95.4          98.2            98.2
 Harvested                  :   87.7       83.6          84.3            84.3
Yield per harvested         :                Metric tons
     acre                   :   3.11       3.13          2.90            2.91
                            :             Million metric tons
Beginning stocks            :   48.8       52.7          45.1            45.1
Production                  :  272.9      261.7         244.3           245.1
Imports                     :    2.6        2.4           2.6             2.6
  Supply, total             :  324.4      316.8         292.1           292.8
Feed and residual           :  159.8      158.9         151.1           151.3
Food, seed & industrial     :   55.3       58.1          61.1            61.1
  Domestic, total           :  215.1      217.0         212.2           212.3
Exports                     :   56.6       54.7          56.9            55.6
  Use, total                :  271.7      271.7         269.0           267.9
Ending stocks, total        :   52.7       45.1          23.0            24.9
  CCC inventory             :    0.2        0.2           0.1             0.1
  Free stocks               :   52.4       44.9          22.9            24.7
    Outstanding loans       :    6.6        5.6           5.2             5.2
                            :
CORN                        :
Area                        :               Million acres
 Planted                    :   79.6       75.8          78.8            78.8
 Harvested                  :   72.4       68.8          70.5            70.5
Yield per harvested         :                  Bushels
    acre                    :  136.9      138.2         127.2           127.6
                            :               Million bushels
Beginning stocks            :  1,718      1,899         1,599           1,599
Production                  :  9,915      9,507         8,970           9,003
Imports                     :      7         10            15              15
  Supply, total             : 11,639     11,416        10,584          10,618
Feed and residual           :  5,842      5,874         5,650           5,675
Food, seed & industrial     :  1,957      2,054         2,170           2,170
  Domestic, total           :  7,799      7,928         7,820           7,845
Exports                     :  1,941      1,889         2,000           1,925
  Use, total                :  9,740      9,817         9,820           9,770
Ending stocks, total        :  1,899      1,599           764             848
  CCC inventory             :      8          5             5               5
  Free stocks               :  1,891      1,594           759             843
    Outstanding loans       :    253        213           200             200
Avg. farm price ($/bu) 2/   :   1.85       1.97    2.30- 2.70      2.20- 2.60
===============================================================================
Note: Totals may not add due to rounding.  1/ Marketing yeabeginning September
1 for corn and sorghum; June 1 for barley and oats.  2/ Marketing-year
weighted average price received by farmers.

                                 WASDE-392-11
 
               U.S. Sorghum, Barley and Oats Supply and Use 1/
===============================================================================
                            :         :         :      2002/03  Projections
         Item               : 2000/01 : 2001/02 :==============================
                            :         :   Est.  :     October        November
===============================================================================
                            :               Million bushels
SORGHUM                     :
Area planted (mil. acres)   :    9.2       10.3           9.3             9.3
Area harv. (mil. acres)     :    7.7        8.6           7.5             7.5
Yield (bushels/acre)        :   60.9       59.9          51.4            50.7
Beginning stocks            :     65         42            59              59
Production                  :    471        515           387             381
Imports                     :      0          0             0               0
   Supply, total            :    536        556           446             441
Feed and residual           :    222        211           135             115
Food, seed & industrial     :     35         45            45              45
   Total domestic           :    258        256           180             160
Exports                     :    237        241           220             245
   Use, total               :    494        497           400             405
Ending stocks, total        :     42         59            46              36
Avg. farm price ($/bu) 2/   :   1.89       1.95    2.30- 2.70      2.25- 2.65
                            :
BARLEY                      :
Area planted (mil. acres)   :    5.9        5.0           5.1             5.1
Area harv. (mil. acres)     :    5.2        4.3           4.1             4.1
Yield (bushels/acre)        :   61.1       58.2          54.9            54.9
Beginning stocks            :    111        106            93              93
Production                  :    319        249           227             227
Imports                     :     29         24            25              25
   Supply, total            :    459        380           345             345
Feed and residual           :    123         88            80              80
Food, seed & industrial     :    172        172           172             172
   Total domestic           :    295        260           252             252
Exports                     :     58         27            20              20
   Use, total               :    353        287           272             272
Ending stocks, total        :    106         93            73              73
Avg. farm price ($/bu) 2/   :   2.11       2.22    2.40- 2.80      2.40- 2.80
                            :
OATS                        :
Area planted (mil. acres)   :    4.5        4.4           5.0             5.0
Area harv. (mil. acres)     :    2.3        1.9           2.1             2.1
Yield (bushels/acre)        :   64.2       61.4          56.8            56.8
Beginning stocks            :     76         73            63              63
Production                  :    150        117           119             119
Imports                     :    106         96           100             100
   Supply, total            :    332        286           282             282
Feed and residual           :    189        148           150             150
Food, seed & industrial     :     68         72            72              72
   Total domestic           :    257        220           222             222
Exports                     :      2          3             2               2
   Use, total               :    259        223           224             224
Ending stocks, total        :     73         63            58              58
Avg. farm price ($/bu) 2/   :   1.10       1.59    1.65- 1.95      1.65- 1.95
===============================================================================
Note: Totals may not add due to rounding.  1/ Marketing year beginning
September 1 for sorghum, June 1 for barley and oats.  2/ Marketing-year
weighted average price received by farmers.

                                  WASDE-392-12
 
                          U.S. Rice Supply and Use 1/
                 (Rough Equivalent of Rough and Milled Rice)
===============================================================================
                            :         :         :      2002/03  Projections
        Item                : 2000/01 : 2001/02 :==============================
                            :         :   Est.  :     October        November
===============================================================================
TOTAL                       :
Area                        :               Million acres
 Planted                    :   3.06       3.34          3.23            3.23
 Harvested                  :   3.04       3.31          3.21            3.21
Yield per harvested         :                    Pounds
   acre                     :  6,281      6,429         6,608           6,611
                            :
                            :            Million hundredweight
                            :
 Beginning stocks 2/        :   27.5       28.5          39.0            39.0
 Production                 :  190.9      213.0         211.9           212.0
 Imports                    :   10.9       13.2          13.0            13.0
   Supply, total            :  229.2      254.7         263.9           264.0
 Domestic & residual 3/     :  117.5      121.7         125.0           125.0
 Exports, total 4/          :   83.2       94.1          97.0           100.0
  Rough                     :   22.8       31.7          32.0            35.0
  Milled (rough equiv.)     :   60.4       62.4          65.0            65.0
   Use, total               :  200.7      215.8         222.0           225.0
 Ending stocks              :   28.5       39.0          41.9            39.0
Avg. milling yield (%) 5/   :   68.6       69.0          69.0            69.0
Avg. farm price ($/cwt) 6/  :   5.61       4.17    3.50- 4.00      3.70- 4.00
                            :
LONG GRAIN                  :
 Harvested acres (mil.)     :   2.19       2.70
 Yield (pounds/acre)        :  5,882      6,130
 Beginning stocks           :   15.6       11.6          26.8            26.8
 Production                 :  128.8      165.3         157.4           157.5
   Supply, total 7/         :  153.1      186.1         193.5           193.5
 Domestic & Residual 3/     :   76.2       85.8          88.7            88.7
 Exports 8/                 :   65.3       73.5          76.0            79.0
   Use, total               :  141.5      159.3         164.7           167.7
 Ending stocks              :   11.6       26.8          28.8            25.8
                            :
                            :
MEDIUM & SHORT GRAIN        :
 Harvested acres (mil.)     :   0.85       0.62
 Yield (pounds/acre)        :  7,308      7,733
 Beginning stocks           :   10.4       15.6          10.7            10.7
 Production                 :   62.1       47.7          54.5            54.5
   Supply, total 7/         :   74.8       67.1          68.9            68.9
 Domestic & Residual 3/     :   41.3       35.9          36.3            36.3
 Exports 8/                 :   17.9       20.6          21.0            21.0
   Use, total               :   59.2       56.4          57.3            57.3
 Ending stocks              :   15.6       10.7          11.6            11.6
===============================================================================
Note: Totals may not add due to rounding.  1/ Marketing year beginning August
1.    2/ Includes the following quantities of broken kernel rice (type
undetermined) not included in estimates of beginning stocks by type (in mil.
cwt): 2000/01-1.4; 2001/02-1.3; 2002/03-1.5. 3/ Residual includes unreported
use, processing losses and estimating errors.  Use by type may not add to total
rice use because of the difference in brokens between beginning and ending
stocks.  4/ Includes rough rice and milled rice exports.  Milled rice exports
are converted to an equivalent rough basis.  5/ Expressed as a percent, i.e.,
the total quantity of whole kernel and broken rice produced divided by the
quantity of rough rice milled.  6/ Marketing-year weighted average price
received by farmers.  7/ Includes imports.  8/ Exports by type of rice are
estimated.


                                 WASDE-392-13
 
        U.S. Soybeans and Products Supply and Use (Domestic Measure) 1/
===============================================================================
                           :         :         :      2002/03  Projections
        Item               : 2000/01 : 2001/02 :===============================
                           :         :   Est.  :     October        November
===============================================================================
SOYBEANS:                  :               Million acres
Area                       :                            
  Planted                  :   74.3       74.1          73.0            73.0
  Harvested                :   72.4       73.0          71.8            71.8
                           :
                           :                   Bushels
Yield per harvested        :
    acre                   :   38.1       39.6          37.0            37.5
                           :
                           :             Million bushels
                           :
Beginning stocks           :    290        248           208             208
Production                 :  2,758      2,891         2,654           2,690
Imports                    :      4          2             3               2
  Supply, total            :  3,052      3,141         2,865           2,900
Crushings                  :  1,640      1,700         1,675           1,660
Exports                    :    996      1,063           850             890
Seed                       :     91         89            87              87
Residual                   :     78         82            78              78
  Use, total               :  2,804      2,933         2,690           2,715
Ending stocks              :    248        208           175             185
Avg. farm price ($/bu) 2/  :   4.54       4.35    5.05- 5.95     4.95 - 5.85
                           :
                           :
                           :               Million pounds
SOYBEAN OIL:               :
Beginning stocks           :  1,995      2,877         2,385           2,360
Production                 : 18,420     18,898        18,930          18,760
Imports                    :     73         45            65              65
  Supply, total            : 20,488     21,820        21,380          21,185
Domestic                   : 16,210     16,960        17,350          17,400
Exports                    :  1,401      2,500         2,400           2,300
  Use, total               : 17,611     19,460        19,750          19,700
Ending stocks              :  2,877      2,360         1,630           1,485
Average price (c/lb) 2/    :  14.15      16.46         19.00-          19.50-
                           :                            22.00           22.50
                           :
                           :           Thousand short tons
SOYBEAN MEAL:              :
Beginning stocks           :    293        383           225             240
Production                 : 39,385     40,346        39,885          39,470
Imports                    :     51        110           240             240
  Supply, total            : 39,729     40,840        40,350          39,950
Domestic                   : 31,643     33,124        33,500          33,500
Exports                    :  7,703      7,475         6,600           6,200
  Use, total               : 39,346     40,599        40,100          39,700
Ending stocks              :    383        240           250             250
Average price ($/s.t.) 2/  : 173.60     167.73        165.00-         155.00-
                           :                           195.00          185.00
===============================================================================
Note: Reliability calculations at end of report.  1/ Marketing year beginning
September 1 for soybeans; October 1 for soybean oil and meal.  2/ Prices:
soybeans, marketing year weighted average price received by farmers; for oil,
simple average of crude soybean oil, Decatur; for meal, simple average of 48
percent, Decatur.

     

                              WASDE-392-14                  
                      U.S. Sugar Supply and Use 1/
======================================================================
                        :           :           : 2002/03 Projections
      Item              : 2000/01   : 2001/02   :=====================
                        :           : Estimate  : October    November
======================================================================
                        :         1,000 short tons, raw value
                        :
Beginning stocks 2/     :   2,219       2,201      1,658       1,295
Production 2/3/         :   8,770       7,906      8,445       8,305
  Beet sugar            :   4,680       3,914      4,375       4,315
  Cane sugar 4/         :   4,090       3,992      4,070       3,990
Imports 2/              :   1,591       1,539      1,565       1,565
  TRQ 5/                :   1,277       1,149      1,245       1,245
  Other program 6/      :     238         305        260         260
  Non-program 7/        :      76          85         60          60
   Total supply         :  12,580      11,646     11,668      11,165
                        :
Exports 2/8/            :     141         108        125         125
Domestic deliveries 2/  :  10,130      10,137      9,980       9,780
  Domestic food use     :   9,998       9,945      9,800       9,600
  Other 9/              :     132         193        180         180
Miscellaneous 10/       :     108         106          0           0
     Use, total         :  10,379      10,350     10,105       9,905
Ending stocks 2/        :   2,201       1,295      1,563       1,260
  Private               :   1,417       1,082         NA          NA
  Other 11/             :     784         213         NA          NA
                        :
Stocks to use ratio     :    21.2        12.5       15.5        12.7
======================================================================
1/ Fiscal years beginning Oct 1.  Includes Puerto Rico.  2/ Historical 
data are from FSA, "Sweetener Market Data" except imports from U.S. 
Customs Service.  3/ Projections for 2002/03 are based on October 
Crop Production and analyses by the Interagency Commodity Estimates 
Committee for sugar. 4/ Production by state for 2001/02 (projected 
2002/03): FL 1,980 (2,020); HI 251 (275); LA 1,587 (1,520); TX 174 
(175); PR 0 (0).  5/ Actual arrivals under the tariff rate quota (TRQ) 
with late entries, early entries, and TRQ overfills assigned to the 
fiscal year in which they actually arrived.  The 2002/03 available 
TRQs assume shortfall of 50,000 tons.  6/ Includes sugar under the 
re-export and polyhydric alcohol programs.  7/ Includes high-tier and 
other.  8/ Mostly reexports. 9/ Transfer to sugar containing products 
for reexport and for nonedible alcohol and feed.  10/ Mostly residual 
statistical discrepancies. 11/ For 2000/01 and 2001/02, CCC-owned 
sugar.
                                 WASDE-392-15
 
                          U. S. Cotton Supply and Use 1/
===============================================================================
                           :         :         :      2002/03  Projections
        Item               : 2000/01 : 2001/02 :===============================
                           :         :   Est.  :     October        November
===============================================================================
                           :               Million acres
Area                       :                            
  Planted                  :  15.52      15.77         14.38           14.38
  Harvested                :  13.05      13.83         12.86           12.86
                           :
                           :                   Pounds 
Yield per harvested        :
    acre                   :    632        705           674             665
                           :
                           :             Million 480 pound bales
                           :
Beginning stocks 2/        :   3.92       6.00          7.60            7.43
Production                 :  17.19      20.30         18.07           17.82
Imports                    :   0.02       0.02          0.03            0.03
  Supply, total            :  21.12      26.33         25.70           25.27
Domestic use               :   8.86       7.72          7.90            7.70
Exports                    :   6.74      11.00         11.00           10.80
  Use, total               :  15.60      18.72         18.90           18.50
Unaccounted 3/             :  -0.48       0.18          0.00           -0.03
Ending stocks              :   6.00       7.43          6.80            6.80
                           :
Avg. farm price 4/         :   49.8       31.5                          34.2 5/
===============================================================================
Note: Reliability calculations at end of report.
1/ Upland and extra-long staple; marketing year beginning August 1.  Totals may
not add due to rounding.  2/ Based on Bureau of Census data.  3/ Reflects the
difference between the previous season's supply less total use and ending
stocks based on Bureau of Census data.  4/ Cents per pound for upland cotton.  
5/ Weighted average for August-September 2002.  USDA is prohibited by law from 
publishing cotton price projections.
===============================================================================



Note: Public Law 106-78, signed October 22, 1999, requires the Secretary of
Agriculture to estimate and report the U.S. upland cotton season-ending
stocks-to-use ratio, excluding projected raw cotton imports but including the
quantity of raw cotton imports that has been imported during the marketing
year.  Pursuant to this requirement, the estimated ratio for 2002/03 is 35.7
percent.
                                 WASDE-392-16
 
                         World Wheat Supply and Use 1/
                             (Million Metric Tons)
===============================================================================
                      :          Supply         :           Use         :
                      :=========================:=======================:Ending
        Region        :         :       :       :  Domestic 2/  :       :stocks
                      :Beginning:Produc-:       :===============:       :
                      :  stocks : tion  :Imports: Feed : Total  :Exports:
===============================================================================
                      :
                      :                      2000/01
                      :
World 3/              :  206.99  583.85  101.76  107.04  586.50  102.82  204.34
United States         :   25.85   60.76    2.45    8.29   36.30   28.90   23.85
Total foreign         :  181.14  523.09   99.31   98.76  550.19   73.92  180.49
  Major exporters 4/  :   24.58  171.58    3.44   54.60  111.60   59.74   28.26
   Argentina          :    0.62   16.23    0.01    0.08    4.99   11.27    0.59
   Australia          :    3.61   23.77    0.07    4.00    6.89   15.93    4.63
   Canada             :    7.70   26.80    0.20    3.70    7.73   17.32    9.66
   EU-15              :   12.65  104.78    3.16   46.82   91.98   15.23   13.38
  Major importers 5/  :  121.27  143.90   50.37   13.40  204.49    2.59  108.46
   Brazil             :    1.25    1.66    7.29    0.20    9.50    0.00    0.70
   China              :  102.94   99.64    0.20   10.00  110.28    0.62   91.88
   N. Africa 6/       :    5.81    9.94   18.28    0.31   28.63    0.30    5.10
   Pakistan           :    3.25   21.08    0.05    0.50   20.50    0.25    3.63
   Southeast Asia 7/  :    1.70    0.00    9.33    1.31    8.98    0.26    1.78
  Selected other      :
   East. Europe       :    4.45   28.87    2.73    9.99   28.88    2.34    4.84
   India              :   13.08   76.37    0.44    0.50   66.82    1.57   21.50
   FSU-12 8/          :    5.76   62.95    4.98   16.16   63.64    4.67    5.38
    Russia            :    1.20   34.45    1.60   11.50   35.16    0.70    1.40
    Kazakstan         :    0.70    9.10    0.01    1.10    4.70    3.67    1.45
    Ukraine           :    1.80   10.20    0.69    1.70   12.16    0.08    0.45
                      :
                      :                 2001/02 (Estimated)
                      :
World 3/              :  204.34  578.72  109.07  108.52  584.85  108.95  198.22
United States         :   23.85   53.26    2.93    5.26   32.72   26.16   21.15
Total foreign         :  180.49  525.46  106.14  103.26  552.12   82.79  177.07
  Major exporters 4/  :   28.26  151.79    9.89   54.42  111.24   55.20   23.49
   Argentina          :    0.59   15.50    0.01    0.05    4.75   10.80    0.55
   Australia          :    4.63   24.00    0.08    4.00    7.03   16.41    5.27
   Canada             :    9.66   20.57    0.30    3.20    7.54   16.50    6.49
   EU-15              :   13.38   91.73    9.50   47.18   91.93   11.49   11.18
  Major importers 5/  :  108.46  140.31   50.24   12.45  203.79    4.12   91.10
   Brazil             :    0.70    3.25    7.10    0.40   10.15    0.00    0.90
   China              :   91.88   93.87    1.10    9.00  108.75    1.51   76.59
   N. Africa 6/       :    5.10   12.70   17.40    0.31   29.18    0.25    5.78
   Pakistan           :    3.63   19.02    0.35    0.40   19.80    1.00    2.20
   Southeast Asia 7/  :    1.78    0.00    9.25    1.38    9.08    0.35    1.61
  Selected other      :
   East. Europe       :    4.84   34.69    1.74   10.94   30.83    4.14    6.29
   India              :   21.50   68.76    0.03    0.50   61.30    3.00   26.00
   FSU-12 8/          :    5.38   91.28    3.59   19.66   68.65   13.80   17.80
    Russia            :    1.40   46.90    0.55   14.00   38.08    4.37    6.40
    Kazakstan         :    1.45   12.70    0.02    1.50    5.19    3.78    5.20
    Ukraine           :    0.45   21.30    0.08    2.20   12.64    5.49    3.70
===============================================================================
1/ Aggregate of local marketing years.  2/ Total foreign and world use
adjusted to reflect the differences in world imports and exports.  3/ World
imports and exports may not balance due to differences in marketing years,
grain in transit and reporting discrepancies in some countries. 4/ Argentina, 
Australia, Canada and the EU-15 (excludes intra-trade). 5/ Brazil, China,
Iran, Japan, Mexico, North Africa, Pakistan, Southeast Asia. 6/ Algeria,
Egypt, Libya, Morocco, and Tunisia. 7/ Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, and
Thailand. 8/ Former USSR excluding the Baltic States.

                                 WASDE-392-17
 
                   World Wheat Supply and Use 1/ (Cont'd.)
                             (Million Metric Tons)
===============================================================================
                      :          Supply         :           Use         :
                      :=========================:=======================:Ending
        Region        :         :       :       :  Domestic 2/  :       :stocks
                      :Beginning:Produc-:       :===============:       :
                      :  stocks : tion  :Imports: Feed : Total  :Exports:
===============================================================================
                      :
                      :                 2002/03 (Projected)
World 3/              :
         October      :  159.56  569.77   99.01  112.86  598.16  100.00  131.18
        November      :  198.22  569.34  101.38  115.22  595.10  101.60  172.46
United States         :
         October      :   21.15   44.22    2.31    4.08   31.73   25.86   10.09
        November      :   21.15   43.99    2.18    4.08   31.73   25.86    9.73
Total foreign         :
         October      :  138.41  525.56   96.70  108.78  566.42   74.14  121.09
        November      :  177.07  525.35   99.20  111.14  563.36   75.74  162.73
  Major exporters 4/  :
         October      :   24.39  146.50    5.41   58.73  115.53   41.80   18.98
        November      :   23.49  144.00    7.41   59.23  116.03   39.80   19.07
   Argentina      Oct :    0.55   14.00    0.01    0.05    4.60    9.30    0.66
                  Nov :    0.55   14.00    0.01    0.05    4.60    9.30    0.66
   Australia      Oct :    5.18   13.00    0.10    4.20    7.18    8.00    3.10
                  Nov :    5.27   11.00    0.10    4.20    7.18    6.00    3.19
   Canada         Oct :    6.49   15.50    0.30    3.70    8.05    9.00    5.24
                  Nov :    6.49   15.50    0.30    3.70    8.05    9.00    5.24
   EU-15          Oct :   12.18  104.00    5.00   50.78   95.70   15.50    9.98
                  Nov :   11.18  103.50    7.00   51.28   96.20   15.50    9.99
  Major importers 5/  :
         October      :   51.54  140.59   46.40    8.75  204.56    3.43   30.54
        November      :   91.10  140.29   46.90   10.75  201.03    3.98   73.28
   Brazil         Oct :    0.90    3.30    6.50    0.35    9.90    0.00    0.80
                  Nov :    0.90    3.30    6.50    0.35    9.90    0.00    0.80
   China          Oct :   37.33   92.00    1.00    5.00  110.00    1.00   19.33
                  Nov :   76.59   92.00    1.00    7.00  106.11    1.50   61.97
   N. Africa 6/   Oct :    5.48   11.41   16.50    0.30   28.68    0.20    4.51
                  Nov :    5.78   11.11   17.00    0.30   29.08    0.20    4.61
   Pakistan       Oct :    2.20   19.50    0.50    0.40   19.75    1.00    1.45
                  Nov :    2.20   19.50    0.50    0.40   19.75    1.00    1.45
   SE Asia 7/     Oct :    1.61    0.00    9.80    1.80    9.75    0.23    1.43
                  Nov :    1.61    0.00    9.80    1.80    9.70    0.28    1.43
  Selected other      :
   East. Europe   Oct :    6.34   31.00    2.20   10.69   31.16    2.82    5.56
                  Nov :    6.29   30.80    2.25   10.44   30.58    3.35    5.41
   India          Oct :   26.00   72.00    0.05    0.60   64.05    6.00   28.00
                  Nov :   26.00   72.00    0.05    0.60   64.05    6.00   28.00
   FSU-12 8/      Oct :   17.80   94.21    3.17   24.56   74.84   16.66   23.67
                  Nov :   17.80   95.75    3.12   24.66   74.93   19.16   22.57
    Russia        Oct :    6.40   49.00    0.50   17.50   41.50    5.50    8.90
                  Nov :    6.40   49.50    0.50   17.50   41.50    6.50    8.40
    Kazakstan     Oct :    5.20   12.00    0.02    1.70    5.57    5.00    6.65
                  Nov :    5.20   13.00    0.02    1.80    5.67    5.00    7.55
    Ukraine       Oct :    3.70   21.00    0.10    3.00   13.60    6.00    5.20
                  Nov :    3.70   21.00    0.10    3.00   13.60    7.50    3.70
===============================================================================
1/ Aggregate of local marketing years.  2/ Total foreign and world use
adjusted to reflect the differences in world imports and exports.  3/ World
imports and exports may not balance due to differences in marketing years,
grain in transit and reporting discrepancies in some countries. 4/ Argentina, 
Australia, Canada and the EU-15 (excludes intra-trade).  5/ Brazil, China,
Iran, Japan, Mexico, North Africa, Pakistan, Southeast Asia. 6/ Algeria,
Egypt, Libya, Morocco, and Tunisia. 7/ Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, and
Thailand. 8/ Former USSR excluding the Baltic States.

                                 WASDE-392-18
 
                      World Coarse Grain Supply and Use 1/
                             (Million Metric Tons)
===============================================================================
                      :          Supply         :           Use         :
                      :=========================:=======================:Ending
        Region        :         :       :       :  Domestic 2/  :       :stocks
                      :Beginning:Produc-:       :===============:       :
                      :  stocks : tion  :Imports: Feed : Total  :Exports:
===============================================================================
                      :
                      :                      2000/01
                      :
World 3/              :  209.85  860.05  102.47  587.03  880.90  105.84  189.00
United States         :   48.86  273.13    2.72  159.82  215.39   56.62   52.70
Total foreign         :  161.00  586.92   99.75  427.21  665.52   49.22  136.30
  Major exporters 4/  :    9.77   62.29    3.21   36.13   48.44   19.68    7.15
   Argentina          :    1.35   19.58    0.02    7.03    9.39   10.34    1.22
   Australia          :    0.71   10.85    0.00    4.57    6.09    4.36    1.11
   Canada             :    5.67   24.03    2.59   20.20   24.32    3.64    4.33
  


Search news stories

 

Please read the End User Agreement.
By accessing this page, you agree to the terms and conditions of the End User Agreement.

SourceCredit